Description

This analysis provides a forecast of GRT6719 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.135203 0.151197 0.168943 0.190204 0.215138 0.243633 0.278929
2024-10-06 0.117222 0.139840 0.167224 0.203325 0.250439 0.310963 0.396508
2024-10-13 0.099094 0.123936 0.156039 0.201621 0.266505 0.358594 0.505251
2024-10-20 0.087636 0.113942 0.149834 0.204161 0.287733 0.417907 0.651086
2024-10-27 0.076841 0.102893 0.139954 0.198957 0.295644 0.458582 0.782680
2024-11-03 0.071625 0.098749 0.138986 0.206455 0.324651 0.541783 1.029104
2024-11-10 0.066993 0.094717 0.137375 0.212288 0.351819 0.630081 1.335184
2024-11-17 0.061393 0.088469 0.131310 0.209302 0.361843 0.687344 1.603646
2024-11-24 0.056142 0.082175 0.124325 0.203410 0.364683 0.729891 1.862305
2024-12-01 0.050626 0.074926 0.114920 0.191610 0.352856 0.734633 2.010928
2024-12-08 0.047637 0.071532 0.111719 0.191044 0.364886 0.802682 2.434120
2024-12-15 0.045803 0.069874 0.111335 0.195864 0.390041 0.915677 3.155528
2024-12-22 0.042760 0.066023 0.106824 0.192119 0.395472 0.979164 3.769345
2024-12-29 0.041540 0.065238 0.107893 0.200342 0.433127 1.163496 5.370468
2025-01-05 0.038961 0.061832 0.103667 0.196423 0.438318 1.243380 6.537645
2025-01-12 0.037236 0.059824 0.101930 0.197842 0.458800 1.393420 8.724526
2025-01-19 0.034949 0.056613 0.097509 0.192390 0.458193 1.460888 10.448461
2025-01-26 0.034108 0.056011 0.098250 0.199343 0.497192 1.729635 16.034631
2025-02-02 0.033176 0.055158 0.098374 0.204807 0.533601 2.022729 24.970107
2025-02-09 0.031591 0.052930 0.095398 0.201912 0.541206 2.173674 33.224157
2025-02-16 0.029905 0.050399 0.091567 0.196271 0.537830 2.261991 41.575256
2025-02-23 0.027886 0.047108 0.085865 0.184999 0.511553 2.193149 43.706774
2025-03-02 0.026861 0.045721 0.084205 0.184456 0.525281 2.399825 63.786070